Quote:
Originally Posted by You Need a Thneed
I joked about it during the game, but I'm more convinced now that it should be tried.
San Francisco should have done a surprise onside kick after their FG in OT.
You get the ball back, you win.
You don't get the ball back, you still have to give up a TD to lose - and if you hold then to a FG, you just need a FG yourself to win the game on the third possession, AND in that scenario, their defence is still mroe tired becasue the KC FG drive was shorter in time.
Gotta think outside the box.
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You might be right.
Interesting study about it:
https://web.stanford.edu/class/stats...ide%20Kick.pdf
"he probability that the kicking team recovers the onside kick and wins the game is 30.4%. The probability that the kicking team does not recover and wins the game is 19.1%. Adding those two probabilities up tells us that kicking team has a 49.5% chance of winning if they start overtime with an onside kick."
EDIT: That's obviously a different scenario but still interesting.