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Originally Posted by Blaster86
It's actually a very neat look at PDO and score effects. The Canucks get five or six early chances, get a lead and then from then on counter punch. When a team constantly has an early lead, and usually a multiple goal lead, it changes how the game plays. And it keeps happening. The question of sustainability has flown this season. It's a repeated story line game in and game out.
What we don't know and don't have enough data on is how does this team play from behind? When you're scoring first in 65+% you don't really get to find out. A real easy plan for a team in the play-offs against the Canucks is "get an early goal or two"
Could the Canucks be just as effective playing from behind? Maybe. They did come back again the blues and jackets recently, but they're not exactly great.
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There's no score effects in being last in rush chances but 1st in rush goals.
That's just an unsustainable heater.
Getting ahead early can certainly affect your overall corsi numbers and potentially expected goal splits but it doesn't transform shooting percentage or save percentage or the graphic above.