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Originally Posted by gvitaly
I don't disagree with you about the Flames hitting above average, especially when we take into account 2015, and 2016. That said, it seemed as though the Flames drafting came back down to earth over the last couple of drafts(which could've been the result of COVID).
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2-4 players from the 2nd round usually become top players. Another 5-7 become NHL regulars(400+ NHL GP). So the chance of getting a regular NHLer is probably around 25-33%.
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2-4 players out of the 2nd round being top players is a stretch, probably closer to 1 if that. If you are looking for first pairing, top line, or starting goalie it is definitely closer to 1 and maybe less depending on your criteria for a top player. Going back to 2010 I think the home runs are maybe Kucherov, Demko, Aho, Debrincat, Robertson. Maybe add Faulk, Bertuzzi, Andersson to that list. I think the jury is still out on a lot of players drafted that last few years. If you can hit on a player in the 2nd it does wonders, but saying up to 2-4 per draft are top players, I don't think is the case.