Quote:
Originally Posted by ericschand
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Well they are both numbers used to describe the same thing and can be used to find each other becasue one is based on the other, so for the purpose of this arguement we an use them as the same thing.
If an asteroid of size X hits earth every million years or so we can say that the probability of it and the odds of it hitting this year do not change, regardless of when the last one hit.
The odds this year are 1/1000000
the probabilty this year is 0.000001
And if one hasn't hit in a million years from now, the odds of one hitting 1million and one years from now will be 1/1000000 and the probability will be 0.000001
And if one hits tomorrow, the odds of one hitting next year will be 1/1000000 and the probabilty will be 0.000001.
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