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Old 01-13-2024, 02:32 PM   #16847
Flames Fan, Ph.D.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root View Post
So if you tank it to the basement, you would 'expect' to come away with 2 franchise players after 6 years of basement dwelling - sounds about similar to how things typically play out
6 years of basement dwelling. Surely the way to success.

The flipside of the "30% chance at a franchise pick" is that you have a 70% chance of not getting a franchise pick. All in exchange for losing miserably.

And presumably if you don't get a franchise pick that first time, then the miserable losing stretches out.

Not picking on you at all, just presenting the downside of these scenarios. Seems that losing means you are mathematically more likely to increase your chance of losing more.

Last edited by Flames Fan, Ph.D.; 01-13-2024 at 02:55 PM. Reason: lol... bad math
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