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Realistically, how much more do people think teams are willing to pay to acquire a player who is willing to negotiate a contract extension vs. a pure rental?

For example, looking at the Horvat and Tarasenko trades last year...

Horvat was traded with the intention of signing a long-term extension. In the trade, Vancouver received a 2023 1st round pick, a recent 2nd round pick who is playing in the AHL and appears to have NHL upside, and a cap dump who they were able to flip for a 2024 5th rounder.

Tarasenko was traded as a rental. In the trade, St. Louis received a 2023 1st round pick, a 2024 3rd round pick, and an AHLer who doesn't appear to have NHL upside. Mikkola and Blais were also involved in the trade, but they basically cancel each other out.



So, Vancouver got the better 2023 first rounder and a better prospect, but St. Louis got the better 2024 pick (and Vancouver had to make an additional trade to get their pick). It doesn't really seem like there was some huge overpayment for a player who is willing to re-sign like people seem to be expecting the Flames to get this year.