Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperMatt18
His 1.11 PPG over the last 3 seasons ranks 18th in the NHL but it's below the other major wingers that would be his comparables and he makes more than all of them, even if you only look at contracts signed over the past 2 years.
Pastrnak: 1.28 PPG - $11.25M
Rantanen: 1.25 PPG - ??? (Making $9.25 now)
Tkachuk: 1.24 PPG - $9.5M
Kaprizov: 1.19 PPG - ??? (Making $9.0 now)
Robertson: 1.17 PPG - $7.75M (Bridge)
Forsberg: 1.08 PPG - $8.5M (Might actually be his best comparable IMO)
I'll include these two as well because even though they've struggled they were the most recent prominent wingers to sign UFA deals as wingers.
Gaudreau: $9.75M - 1.07 PPG in the three years prior to his deal
Huberdeau: $10.5M - 1.25 PPG in the three years prior to his deal
I feel like it could have been argued that $10.5M would have been an overpayment - let alone $11.5M.
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Plus, if you look at more than just PPG, Nylander is just not as good as some of these players.
Leafs - can't keep the puck out of the net. Teams that give up a ton always are pressing to score. Star players will get more points in these situations. See the Oilers stars the last few years or Colorado increased production for MacKinnon and Rantanen with their struggles defensively this year. MacKinnon might beat his career high by end of Feb, this is mainly due to them giving up 5 on most nights.
Style of play, elite PP is a big part of guys like Nylander's points as well.
Good player and maybe the deal is ok due to projected league revenue and a cap that could be in the mid 90s based on that revenue. But it's a bad contract compared to what we have seen so far. I just think it will get worse than this for similar players in the next 2-3 years.