Best Case Scenario - Nylander stays a top 5 point producer for the majority of the contract and the cap grows significantly
Moderate Case Scenario - Nylander reverts to the mean as a top 20 point producer and the cap sees moderate growth
Worst Case Scenario - Nylander's production falls off of a cliff (see Huberdeau) and the cap flatlines
Which one is most likely? I would say the moderate case scenario. It is unlikely this will be a good deal for the Leafs. However, they are in a win-now mode. If they win a cup in the next few years no one will care. I'm not saying they will win, but I think that is the mindset. Go all in while you have these players at their peak. The Leafs have never made the finals since the league expanded beyond six teams 56 years ago. If this is their shot, they have to take it and screw long-term cap/asset management.
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