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Old 12-30-2023, 09:38 PM   #121
octothorp
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Originally Posted by Kasi View Post
Don’t they have all three of 27-29? And even for the next three years they just have one lost pick although it’s an unsettled one that keeps getting more valuable if Warriors draft high. I’m not sure how a trade that is unsettled over a 3 year span works. But the warriors have kept most of their picks compared to other teams.
They own all three of those, but due to Stepien rules (can't commit FRPs from any 2 future drafts in a row) they can't trade 2027 (because 2026 is trade-committed) or 2029 (because 2030 is trade-commited). That leaves just 2028.

They could trade an additional asset to Memphis to change the protections on this year to fully unprotected, but even in doing so 2025 and 2029 are still blocked, so even then their only options for trading two are just the 2026 and 2028, and they would need to be fully unprotected. (The only option to having them fully unprotected would be having them immediately turn into 2nd-rounders if they don't convey that year, but they're really short on SRPs too, and would probably need to give up one to Memphis to change the protections, and Raptors won't value picks that have protections that expire immediately and turn into single SRPs).

With the Warriors still being outside the play-ins and being so reliant on a single player, they may balk at giving up a draft pick to remove protections this year... imagine they do that, Curry gets hurt, they end up getting a top-4-pick through lottery luck, but already removed protections and give that pick to Memphis (and spent a 2nd-rounder to do so), and then also gave up two additional unprotected FRPs that end up being high picks in a post-Curry era? That's very unlikely, but it's also the sort of worst-case scenario that teams try really hard to avoid.

They could give up swap-rights in those additional years (27 and 29), but those are really difficult to put a value on, so are unlikely to count for much in a Siakam trade either.

Last edited by octothorp; 12-30-2023 at 10:12 PM.
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