Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
Very good chance?
He's 4th in team scoring since he was recalled behind Kadri, Coleman and Sharangovich and tied with Weegar in points.
He's been very good, but he's doubtful to lead the team in points. especially missing all of October.
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But he also leads all of them, and the rest of the team, in points per games played. If absolutely nothing changes at all... no one gets hurt/suspended/benched... no one increases or decreases their scoring rate... this is how the season will end.
Kadri: 59 in 82 games.
Coleman: 57 in 82 games.
Zary: 53 in 72 games.
Lindholm: 52 in 82 games.
Sharangovich: 49 in 82 games.
Weegar: 49 in 82 games.
Obviously, the probability of things ending exactly like that is extremely low. Anything can happen. If Zary's clip goes up by even a small amount and Kadri drops by even a smaller amount and misses 2-3 games (suspended, injured)... that's all it takes.
Let's not forget that while he's leading the team in points per game, he's doing it in spite of being 13th in minutes played per game... and he's played a full 1 minute less per game on the powerplay than Kadri has.
Like, if we look at 5v5 totals per 60 minutes, it's not even close.
1. Connor Zary 8:06 TOI/GP, 2.36 G/60, 2.02 A/60, 4.38 P/60
2. Blake Coleman 10:18 TOI/GP, 1.27 G/60, 1.82 A/60, 3.09 P/60
3. Nazim Kadri 10:18 TOI/GP, 0.91 G/60, 2.18 A/60, 3.09 P/60
At those rates, even a small increase in 5v5 minutes would take care of most of the 7 point gap between him and Kadri. He's already been elevated to PP1, so thats also another bump that he's gotten this far without having.
The "dictionary definition of far-fetched" this is not.
Edit: It needs to be mentioned what a monster season Coleman is having (I mean relative to expectations, of course).