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Old 12-18-2023, 01:02 PM   #35
Jiri Hrdina
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperMatt18 View Post
Yeah the difference between a top 5 pick and a top 15 pick can be huge.

You still have to draft well...but drafting well in the top 5 means you could get a franchise altering player like Pettersson or Makar.

Drafting well in the top 15 can get you a really good player, and it's still possible to get a franchise guy like a McAvoy, but really it's way harder to do that and you're more likely to get a good piece like a Noah Dobson or Cole Caufiled. Still good players, but not that top end elite player.
Depends on the draft. It's not totally clear to me where the ledges are in this draft.
You've got a clear #1 pick.
And then you've got Eiserman who is the assumed #2 but I'm not convinced that he will be, primarily because he's a high scoring winger, and teams may prefer the centre or D at 2.

So my view is that after Celebrini, there may not be much difference between 2-8ish. You've got a real strong mix of high offense wingers, great dmen and a couple more centres all the way perhaps to even 10.

My point is the difference between the 4th pick and the 7th pick in this draft may not be big.

These were Pronman's tiers in early Nov:
Tier 1 (bubble elite NHL player): Celebrini
Tier 2 (NHL All star): Silayev (D) and Eiserman
Tier 3 (Bubble NHL All star/top of line up player): Levshunov (D), Demidov (RW), Yakemchuk (D)
Tier 4 (Top of line up): Berkly Catton (D), Adam Jiricek (D), Sam Dickinson (D)

That takes you to 9, and then you have guys like Cayden Lindstrom, and Konsta Helenius (both centres, that therefore could go higher than that) in the next tier.
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