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Old 12-17-2023, 12:15 PM   #83
Savvy27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperMatt18 View Post
The Flames have played 18 games to this date, and have 18 remaining before Jan 1.

And so far it's been a really mixed bag:

First 9 Games: 2-6-1

5v5 Stats: 31.4% GF, 50.9 xGF, 5.2% SH, .875 SV% (0-4 for Andersson's suspension)

Last 9 Games: 5-2-2

5v5 Stats: 57% GF, 52.8% xGF, 9.68% SH, .911 SV%

So a but unlucky over the first 9, and really seemed to struggle in the new system especially without Andersson. But playing better over the last 9, and getting a bit more puck luck too.

But these next 18 Games are going to really determine the Flames direction this season I think...and it's a bit of a Murders row of a schedule.

Next 9 Games: Preds, Stars, Avalanche (B2B), Knights, Stars, Canucks, Wild, Hurricanes, Devils

Final 9 Games Before Jan 1: Avalanche, Knights (B2B), Wild, Lightning, Panthers, Ducks, Kings, Kraken, Flyers,

Avs x 2, Knights x 2, Stars x 2, Canucks, Kings, Panthers, Lightning, Hurricanes, Devils, Flyers

Those 10 teams are a combined 109-54-14...and 13 of the next 18 games are against that group.

Seattle, Preds, Wild, and Ducks are only easier matchups in this final 18 game stretch before 2024.

If the Flames can somehow keep their head above water in this stretch, and get to Jan 1st around .500 or slightly above .500 then they probably are right in the playoff mix.

But this schedule over the next 6 weeks is going to be killer.
Just checking in on the results during the murderer's row stretch. Since November 22:

Record: 5-6-2
25th in the league with 12 points over that stretch - however, the league has been crazy tight and they are 4 points back of 5th in the league during that time. So, considering the circumstances (tough opponents, missing Tanev and Markstrom for part of it) they have done relatively well.

5v5 Stats: 48% GF, 51.9% xGF, 9.42% SH, .898 SV%
PP: 8.6% (31st)
PK: 75.7% (25th)

Goaltending has been a big point of discussion around here. Whether it is on the goalies to simply play better or the team to defend better, this team isn't going anywhere without getting that save percentage back up to that ~.910 range when they were 5-2-2.

Also, the assistant coaches need to get both the powerplay and penalty kill units to an entirely different level. I'm obviously a big Savard fan, but his first season in this role has been a massive letdown and he's going to have to find a way to turn things around if he's going to stay in the NHL.
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