Quote:
Originally Posted by Textcritic
It only suggests this if it is unusual. A proper analysis requires collecting data from every game for the month of November. I am not at all convinced that it is particularly unusual for a team to allow the first goal in the first 3 mins of a game half the time. I suspect that this is pretty typical.
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So far your average NHL team allows 3.15 GPG. So a little over a goal per period.
Stole this from some reddit dude so I can't vouch for it but it sounds right:
The chances of the first goal being scored in any given minute roughly decays exponentially as the game progresses. The most common minute is the second minute of the game, probably because the first minute begins with a faceoff, and no real scoring opportunity for 3-4 seconds. The first goal of a game is scored in the second minute with a frequency of 7.7%. (The first minute is slighty lower at 6.4%.) There is a slight uptick in number of first goals in the last minute of the 1st and 2nd periods compared to surrounding minutes.
EDIT:
Flames are one of the better teams at scoring in the first 10 minutes:
https://www.bestodds.com/odds/nhl/gift/
EDIT 2:
The team that scores first wins more often but that's a bit misleading since maybe the team that scored first did so because it scores more goals in general, because it's a better team.