Quote:
Originally Posted by Jetfire
Oh yeah yet the Oilers one I saw the other day they were still given like 44% playoff odds. I don't know how that site comes up with their equation but it's pretty dumb.
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They factor in other things like XGF, XGA, etc. And the problem is that these types of stats are nowhere near being refined enough to be particularly useful.
The site you quoted simply runs outcomes. The calculated odds are a summation of all possible simulations. As simplistic as this is, it is very useful, if you understand statistics and outcomes.
Neither is close to being gospel, but one is much cleaner than the other.