The Foolish Optimism Thread
I know after last season people will be quick to jump on the advanced stats but I actually don't think it's as bad as the record indicates TBH and still think I'll give them until game 20 before I overreact one way or another.
I think the biggest issue is that the team lacks confidence and doesn't trust their instincts (Huberdeau is the biggest culprit of this IMO). Even just tonight how many grade A chances are goals if they could just raise the puck, or don't take that extra split second to shoot.
You don't just gain confidence overnight and this team needs a bit of luck that they just haven't had at all the past two seasons. That and some some better goaltending would help, there is no way they should have left that second period down 3-1 tonight.
But since the first game against Winnipeg they have carried the play at 5v5, and it's been in a different way than last season. Fewer low quality chances, and higher Scoring chance and high danger ratios.
Over the last 6 games at 5v5%
Corsi For %: 58.9% - 1st
Corsi For per 60: 68.4 - 5th
Corsi Against per 60: 47.8 - 2nd
Scoring Chance %: 57.4% - 2nd
Scoring Chance For per 60: 29.9 - 5th
Scoring Chance Against per 60: 22.2 - 2nd
High Danger Chance %: 67.7% - 1st
High Danger For per 60: 13.99 - 1st
High Danger Against per 60: 6.67 - 2nd
XGF%: 61.67% - 1st
xGF per 60: 3.00 - 4th
xGA per 60: 1.87 - 1st
Shooting %: 5.77% - 26th
Save Percentage: .862 - 32nd
Even though it looks very similar to last year there are some main differences in how the team is playing. They are generating much higher quality of shots than last season, and allowing even fewer high danger. They need some bounces and some saves.
It's still a work in progress but there are signs of progress even if the 1-4-1 record over the last 6 games is very unfortunate.
100% the roster does lack talent...but honeslty they just need to take some risk.
- Call up Zary, Poirier, and Wolf and that's an infusion of youth and talent.
- Figure out the special teams units and stop mixing up the PP lines so much.
- And FFS have some fun, this looks like a team that needs to go out and get hammered together.
And I can't harp on this enough...call up Dustin f@&@$@$ Wolf. You have the two time AHL goalie of the year, and reigning AHL MVP on the farm team when you have the worst goaltending stats in the NHL
Last edited by SuperMatt18; 10-24-2023 at 11:21 PM.
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