I think the better question is which playoff team is more likely to be out: Boston, Tampa Bay, or Florida?
I hate to say it, but I really worry about that Florida defense missing both Montour and Ekblad out for roughly the first half of the season. Coming off a long run in the playoffs, there is always a bit of a hangover for these teams. A lot of rookies and unestablished guys made the team because they didn't have options up against the cap.
Tampa without Vasilevsky is a different team. They rely on him a lot to carry the load, and they don't really have a solid option at the moment. They still have some elite players, but the depth that made them so good has really been worn away over the years. Also a team with cap issues.
Boston lost it's top 2 centers, and the loss of Bergeron is massive as he did so much all over the ice. I think they have a very competitive team, but I also don't think Ullmark is really one of the elite goaltenders in the game, and is likely going to regress somewhat this year. Should still get points in the high 90's as a team, but it'll be close.
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"You know, that's kinda why I came here, to show that I don't suck that much" ~ Devin Cooley, Professional Goaltender
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