Quote:
Originally Posted by activeStick
Why is anyone voting anything other than 'Win the Cup'?!!
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Because the question is asking us to predict how they will do, not what we want to happen.
If it was asking us what we want to happen, then of course the cup. But predictions and desires are two different things.
It is like when you buy a lottery ticket. Your desire is to win the lottery, but you would have to be insane to predict that you will win. Someone predicting that they would win would act according, quitting their job when they buy the ticket. Instead we hope we win, but predict that we will not win so we keep our jobs.
The odds of a cup are obviously much better than winning a lottery, but the same principles apply. We can have fun making long predictions, and see how close these predictions are to the actual outcome, while still hoping our predictions are wrong and they outperform them.