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Originally Posted by PepsiFree
They aren’t weird examples. The point is that neither Jones nor Nurse are worth the contracts they’re on right now, and having signed those same contracts 5+ years earlier would not have made a difference as at no point have they ever been worth these contracts.
So, signing a young guy to a big dollar, max term contract when he isn’t yet worth what you signed him isn’t any less risky. Like Nurse and Jones, he might never be.
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Yeah but Jones and Nurse wouldn't have been signed to $9+ million per year 5 years ago. Subban made $9 and Webber made $7.8 million. That was the top.
Jones signed for 6 years at the end of his entry level deal for $5.4. To get another 2 years might have made it $6 million. He would be going into the last year of that deal if it happened.
Nurse and Jones would have been two contracts that would have turned out well if they were signed to 8 year contracts coming out of their entry level deals.
Sanderson will be the 18th highest paid defenceman next year. In 16/17 when Jones' entry level deal was up the 18th highest paid defenceman was $5.75 million.
It is a lot easier to find 8 year contracts signed by guys in their late 20s that turned out badly than it is to find contracts signed by guys aged 21-22 that did the same. Seems like a no brainer that while both contracts carry risk, the ones to the older players carry more.