Quote:
Originally Posted by Fuzz
Most of these polls are 1000-2000 people, so that's, what 5 people per riding? I don't think you can project these national polls out to indivdual riding or regions with any useful accuracy. These are good for judging a general national level of support for each party. Reading anything into them, particularly in the doldrums of summer with no election in sight and 3 largely unpopular leaders doesn't seem very useful.
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You can with reasonable accuracy build up riding level bias and regional bias over time with multiple polls and eclecticism results so you can project national polling into seat counts.
Totally agree with you on your second point. We are a year out at least from an election so doesn’t matter.