Eventually Russia is going to have to massively increase their industrial output, particularly when it comes to making new weapons, or withdraw. They have stockpiles of old weapons they are using but eventually those will run out.
The issue for Ukraine is that they can't really attack many of the areas they've lost without some kind of naval presence. Russia has actually withdrawn some of their navy, as the drone campaign has been pretty effective. Russia has ships worth 10s of millions being bombarded by cheap naval drones. That's still doesn't solve the problem of moving troops around the Black Sea. Without that option, the only option is land invasion.
Then how does Ukraine advance into the areas that Russia has covered in mines?
This seems like a war destined to end up in some kind of stalemate.
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