To add a thought on the negative side;
While Ukraine is slowly somewhat catching up in terms of materiel, Russia is simultaneously catching up strategically and tactically. They were an absolute mess to begin with, but they have learned a lot of lessons and put them to use. While Ukraine has also been learning obviously, it's still likely that that gap is slowly closing.
That's a big reason why I think big military breakthrough are unlikely. Over time, both sides will inevitably have the best military experts in the world to fight this specific war, and the closer things are to even, the less likely it is that anything truly dramatic happens.
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