Polling at this stage is still quite tough as people really don't know how they will vote when the time comes depending on platform etc.
I think the Liberals are going to try really really hard to defend that GTA and southern Ontario base as much as possible and will need to seriously look at economic policies. I know a lot of Liberals are very proud of a lot of their accomplishments but the truth of the matter, on the economic file and on economic issues, they are extremely vulranable. We have been hearing since 2014/2015 about "investing in the middle class" and it's a lot of chatter but your average middle class, middle income student, family, senior etc doesn't feel like they are getting ahead. Sure there are some programs that have come out and some chq's that have been sent to people for various programs but on the day to day front, very few people are actually ahead and a lot of people are falling behind in dangerious ways.
Look for the new cabinet to at least try and come up with some solid economic policies to try and help real people. It's a tough hill to climb at the moment and it will probably be the Liberals undoing either this election or next. It's present in the data and in ways a lot of us don't think. Immigrants are coming here and are heading back in droves as the struggles are real for a lot of them. Canadians are leaving to leave abroad in decently high numbers as the combo of lifestyle/reward/opportunity may be better in a lot of countries. You will see this with retiree's of immigrant Canadians and some of their children.
The Conservatives will need to adjust their strategy and make gains where they need do. They can pretty much forget about the Prairies and try and see how their policies will increase voter turnout for the larger cities in Canada like Vancouver, Toronto and Montreal.
If they lose this election against the Liberals and a very beatable Trudeau, they will need to look in the mirror and have an honest convo about who their next leader needs to be.
Regardless, hopefully all these parties start actually working together for the benefits of Canadians and actually getting meaningful things accomplished that HELP Canadians with what they need help on. Government's across the board are literally failing at some of the basic level things that they need to do and it isn't as a result of low spending, a lack of employee's. We've literally added hundreds of billions in debt, expanded the civil service across the board and can't manage basic services like military, healthcare, aging infrastructure, homelessness, drug and mental health problems.
Crazy times all around.
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