Quote:
Originally Posted by bax
I wish I was as optimistic as you are with Ronni.
I just don’t see an NHL player there. Same goes with Kuznetsov and Stromgren. Just bad selections in the second round from 20-22.
I’m more optimistic on Morin though.
I know it’s hindsight, but plenty of people were clamoring for Hutson in 22 and Stankoven in 21.
Production models aren’t everything but according to Bader’s model here is the current likelihood for each player becoming a star and an NHL player:
Ronni: 1%, 13%
Stromgren: 1%, 24%
Hutson: 74%, 81%
Stankoven: 38%, 89%
Really wish this mgmt team would stop prioritizing size. You can buy and trade for size.
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I am already on record stating that Bader's model is useless, but regardless as you said you are also using the benefit of hindsight here as well when evaluating these selections. For example - Stromgren and Stankoven had identical projections based on his model during their draft year (15% star probability/ 49% NHL player) so based on that alone you can't be upset with the pick.