Quote:
Originally Posted by bax
I wish I was as optimistic as you are with Ronni.
I just don’t see an NHL player there. Same goes with Kuznetsov and Stromgren. Just bad selections in the second round from 20-22.
I’m more optimistic on Morin though.
I know it’s hindsight, but plenty of people were clamoring for Hutson in 22 and Stankoven in 21.
Production models aren’t everything but according to Bader’s model here is the current likelihood for each player becoming a star and an NHL player:
Ronni: 1%, 13%
Stromgren: 1%, 24%
Hutson: 74%, 81%
Stankoven: 38%, 89%
Really wish this mgmt team would stop prioritizing size. You can buy and trade for size.
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Obviously you can make the case for others, but the Bader model seems a bit out of whack if Hutson has a 74% chance to be a star and 81% chance to be a player. The star number seems ridiculously high. To me Bedard should be about 80%. There are no guarantees.
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From HFBoard oiler fan, in analyzing MacT's management:
O.K. there has been a lot of talk on whether or not MacTavish has actually done a good job for us, most fans on this board are very basic in their analysis and I feel would change their opinion entirely if the team was successful.
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