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Old 08-03-2023, 11:40 AM   #149
GioforPM
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Join Date: Oct 2014
Location: Springbank
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bax View Post
I wish I was as optimistic as you are with Ronni.

I just don’t see an NHL player there. Same goes with Kuznetsov and Stromgren. Just bad selections in the second round from 20-22.

I’m more optimistic on Morin though.

I know it’s hindsight, but plenty of people were clamoring for Hutson in 22 and Stankoven in 21.

Production models aren’t everything but according to Bader’s model here is the current likelihood for each player becoming a star and an NHL player:

Ronni: 1%, 13%
Stromgren: 1%, 24%
Hutson: 74%, 81%
Stankoven: 38%, 89%

Really wish this mgmt team would stop prioritizing size. You can buy and trade for size.
Ronni is 6'2. That's not huge, just kind of average NHL size.

Flames last 4 first rounders don't show me some sort of size priority:

23: Honzek 6'4
21: Coronato 5'10
20: Zary 6'0
19: Pelletier 5'9

I don't think there's any demonstrable size bias in later rounds either. Some picks are big, sure, but more are average and a fair number are small.
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