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Old 07-26-2023, 10:12 AM   #10852
driveway
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Quote:
Originally Posted by flylock shox View Post

I think the Republicans are capable of getting 51% of the vote with Trump as their candidate, and probably top out at 45% without him. Tons of Republican voters are really Trump voters - he goes, and they just won't bother voting at all. With voter demographic changes working against them, Trump is probably their last, best, and only shot at power for the next 3 elections (though they only need him to win the next one, after which they may not need to worry about future ones anyway).
Do you mean 51% of the electoral college votes, or 51% of the popular vote? Trump has never broken 47% of the popular vote and no Republican has topped 51% since Bush/Quayle in 1988 (GW Bush got 50.7% in 2004).

Trump could win the election, but I see no way he wins the popular vote.
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