Quote:
Originally Posted by nfotiu
Biden's biggest risks are a 3rd party candidate, even a fairly insignicant one, or if the economy tanks. He should be able to carry the states he needs, but a 3rd party candidate even getting half a percent could be a disaster in the close states he needs.
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not sure I see a potential third party candidate who could seriously damage Biden. People have floated the idea of either RFK Jr. oder Manchin running as independents, but I don't see how that would necessarily hurt Biden. RFK Jr. is a Democrat on paper, but it actually seems as if Republicans are more willing to buy the bat#### crazy stuff he's selling. Same thing with Manchin, his politics and views haven't exactly been left wing. Would those guys steal more votes from Biden or Trump? Not sure it's that cut and dry.
Not sure how much support somebody like Cornel West could garner. Not to discount third party candidates as possible spoilers (I do think Jill Stein hurt Hillary back in 2016), just not sure I see it for 2024 (so far).