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Old 07-26-2023, 09:37 AM   #10848
Monahammer
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Meh, Biden is still polling slightly ahead of trump nationally.

These polls are meaningless until the republican primaries are over.

If only 59% of the party supports trump, and a good portion of the remaining are never trump, that might shift the balance of non-voters into the republican camp. As earlier identified, a Trump candidacy does motivate undecideds and independents to vote against with a high intensity. Combined with never trumpers it is probably enough to ensure a democrat victory again. I say probably because it was also probable that Hillary would beat him and she did not.
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