Quote:
Originally Posted by Table 5
The developed world maybe be flattening out, but they only make up like a fifth of the global population. The majority of the growth is in developing countries...and the share of people living in those countries is increasing. According to the UN, the share of people living in developing countries has increased from 66% in 1950 to 83% now, and should reach 86% by 2050.
Top 10 countries by population:
1. India
2. China
3. US
4. Indonesia
5. Pakistan
6. Nigeria
7. Brazil
8. Bangladesh
9. Russia
10. Mexico
In terms of future population growth rate, the top countries tend to be in Africa and Asia, typically places that have room to grow in terms of quality of life. These people want the same things we do... burgeoning economies and industry, stable electricity grids, cars, air conditioning, electronics, roads, airplanes, etc. All things that require a ton of energy.
There is of course some theoretical global energy demand maximum, but don't expect that to happen anytime soon.
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I think you just sort of repeated my point? Basically all of the ten countries you listed are at or below replacement birth rates, besides Nigeria. Nigeria's birth rate trend has turned down, and it's now headed on the same path.
All of the developing nations with the highest birth rates peaked between ~1990-2000, and basically all birth rates are essentially now in a down trend for the most part.
Most of the mainstream projections of peak world population have it happening at ~9-10B people. We're at 7.9B now.
All that needs to be done on the energy front is to install enough capacity to lift the rest of the world out of poverty. We already have the technologies to do this in a not-so-terrible manner.