Quote:
Originally Posted by CliffFletcher
Unfortunately, sanctions aren’t destroying the Russian economy. Much of the world is still trading freely with Russia, and acting as middlemen for energy sales back to the West.
Nonetheless, the sanctions are biting enough that Russia would struggle to ramp up its war effort. So barring a collapse of morale of the Russian army - a real possibility, but one which is less likely if they adopt a strictly defensive posture - it’s looking like a stalemate will settle in over the next 12 months.
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IMF is using statistics given to them by Russian official sources, and at least last year they weren't doing anything to confirm them. So it's basically just circulating Russian propaganda.
No one knows what the real state of Russian economy is.
However, Russian government has been doing things that look a lot like penny-pinching, like closing consulates and not paying all their international bills, which suggests they're seriously suffering.