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Old 07-07-2023, 01:08 PM   #1260
Cleveland Steam Whistle
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Join Date: Oct 2011
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gvitaly View Post
You're slightly off.

There are only 13 Centers in the NHL making more than $8.5M.

The 33rd highest paid Center is Tage Thompson at $7.14M. Kadri is 36th.

A low end 2C would be at least 48th on the list, and that's Charlie Coyle who makes $5.25M. Backlund's $5.35M is 46th. Even if the cap goes up by $20M, that's a 25% bump those caphits would be in the range of $6.5-7M

Lindholm at $9M would make him have the 12th highest cap hit among centers. Now I don't see him impacting the game enough on a nightly basis to warrant that price tag.
As people keep commenting though, using "today" data on contracts isn't acceptable lens, for Lindholm or the Flames. So many variables at play, but if we just look at the Flames lens:

1. What type of player is Lindholm. The player he is when he had Gaudreau or was he being proppep up by line mates.
2. Once you make your evaluation of what he is - you then need to get your crystal ball out and decide, how much is that player worth, 2 to 3 years from now. I.e. you can't go, today that makes him the 12 highest paid centre, so he has to be the 12 best centre in the league - you need to try and predict where the cap goes and what the value for center's go as well into the future.
3. Then, you need to decide, how long will Lindholm be that player, and how long can you stomach your prediction on fair value.

Make a wrong call on anyone of those factors, and you potentially end up with a bad contract on the books...........which is why it's a tough gig.

If it was as easy as Lindholm isn't 12 best player in the league today, don't pay him 12th best money, all of us could be GMs of NHL hockey teams.
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