Quote:
Originally Posted by Ozy_Flame
They have a technical victory, but they're losing ground to the progressive vote.
One thing to note - the UCP boasts about attracting young people to buy houses and live in the province, but they fail to mention those people bring their politics with them. And those same young people are generally more progressive.
Winning both Edmonton and Calgary still means a party can govern in the Leg with a majority. Flip a couple more Calgary ridings and the whole UCP majority instantly falls apart. Calgary North, Calgary Northwest, Calgary Bow, Calgary Cross, Calgary East were all within a relative hair of being lost to the NDP, which would have put the parties at a 44-44 balance.
The UCP should not be doing victory laps for very long. They have huge, huge ground to regain in Calgary if they want to enjoy longevity.
"Alberta is Calling" might inevitably do the current government in.
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This is possible but I'll steal a page out of Muta's book, what type of people would a UCP government attract? Probably conservative young people. Maybe even conservative retirees. So that might backfire.
And if this government is attracting anyone that means it is doing well. They would be very difficult to defeat in 2027 if they are united and not a dumpster fire. The NDP threw all the negativity at Smith in this campaign. If she does well and all of her platform promises are successful (very big if), what does the NDP throw at her now?
So i don't think that new people coming to the province is actually a good thing. It means Alberta and its government are attractive.