Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
I think post the Nenshi election that mainstreet changed their polling methods. They used to be a straight phone dialer which in that election oversampled the anti-Nenshi crowd.
If you read some of Janet Brown’s stuff on her current model and methods is that she is actively trying reach out to groups that are under-sampled or in the online panels. She does this by focusing on phone polling and multiple phone calls to phones to try to maintain the randomness of the samples.
From the Baired article on Janet browns polling
https://calgaryherald.com/news/local...94e44b504/amp/
When I read this quote from Brown I get flash backs to Mainstreets quote from the Smith /Nenshi election. It’s funny people still hack on mainstreet for that one without acknowledging he adjusted methods as a result of those results
None of this is saying she is wrong. As always a polling average made up of different methods of obtaining “random” samples is more likely to produce a better result than trying to pick the poll you think is right. |
Mainstreet also started polling in language. When 1 out of 5 homes in Calgary do not speak English or French in the home it is pretty hard to get multicultural votes correct if you poll in English. Mainstreet adjusted for that deficiency after the 2017 election.
I know if someone polled me in German I would just hang up.