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Originally Posted by bizaro86
Now do it with real GDP.
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Haha, well we can find all kinds of measures in finance to tell us what we want to hear! I’m not saying there’s no recession coming. But what are we at now…17 months of “it’s imminent”? The consumer seems strong, earnings in this past quarter were good and while things are slowing overall it might still be close. Could be the “dish pan” recession where we do technically go negative, wits shallow?
Predicting these things with any accuracy is a lot harder than people think.