Quote:
Originally Posted by bizaro86
Employment % doesn't really matter, because unemployed people don't accrue benefits either. So unless you think Alberta's population is going to dramatically start shrinking boom/bust doesn't change the numbers on this. And because of the previous young people growth it would take decades of emigration to get to the point this wasn't advantageous from a demographic point of view. Boom/bust isn't a factor, because the cycles are too short for that.
Anyway, like I said the UCP and Aimco aren't trustworthy enough for this, but the underlying demographic math is pretty irrefutable, and populations just don't move enough for it change. Especially the very old (who didn't pay for their own cpp) are not likely to start moving provinces.
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I'll admit I haven't thought about this too deeply, but wouldn't it be fairly easy for us to have a bit of an 'aging boomer' cycle here with our current 'youth advantage'? Doesn't the advantage only continue if young people continue to exceed the retiree population? Wouldn't that require perpetual increases of youth inflow to prevent the current wide 'hips' of our demographic tree from becoming broad shoulders?