New poll from Leger, with NDP +2 provincewide. Also shows the UCP ahead in the Calgary CMA. As someone above pointed out that includes places like Airdrie that are UCP strongholds, so take that for whatever it’s worth. “Calgary CMA” sample is n=275.
https://legermarketing.wpenginepower...23-Polling.pdf
I don’t really know how to interpret this data—there’s something here for both sides. NDP supporters will like the topline, and the fact that Danielle Smith scores very poorly on personal rating fundamentals. UCP supporters will like the fact that the conservatives remain ahead in the Calgary CMA, which is going to be the biggest battleground in this election. Either side can make an argument for why the 17% undecided voters are going to break their way on May 29th.
Personally I look at these numbers and they don’t look quite good enough for the NDP. The topline is consistent with prior polls showing a dead heat provincially. It would be nice to get a better sense of how the race looks in Calgary proper.