Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
Natural stat trick is a scoring chance attempt on anything from the slot and a high danger shot attempt in the slot (home plate) on a pass, deflection or rebound.
Both are assigned likelihood of a goal and tabulated to expected goals.
If you're high in scoring attempts but less so in high danger I do think your best shots are too predictable.
But being top 15 in high danger suggests they're still getting some dangerous looks.
I think the Flames high volume strategy is creating a lift to the expected goals that needs to be adjusted, but I'd doubt that adjustment moves them from 5th to 32nd.
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Disagree here. An in close shot into shinpads of a defender with lots of time to set up is quite different from a cross ice pass even from further out. This is a micro stat that naturalstattrick doesn't have that others do and leads to predictable results. Flames were 31st in cross ice passes. It might be reading tea leaves here, but that's what Johnny and Tkachuk excelled at, and I'm not sure Sutter loves that idea