Quote:
Originally Posted by blender
I've always felt similarly about PDO in that if you have a bad save percentage and a bad shooting percentage you are just a bad team. The way it was always correlated to luck never made sense to me. It is interesting, though to consider the outliers like the 22/23 Flames.
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Historically, those correlations fall within certain ranges. When a team diverges significantly from those ranges, they usually revert back towards them. That's how stats work. That's why we look at them.
No one is saying PDO defines anything about the team's skill. No one is saying that the two factors in some way prove anything about the teams. It is simply a statistical fact that the stats fall within certain parameters, consistently, from year to year. And that when a team's numbers jump significantly above or below those historical ranges, they typically (almost always) revert back to more normal levels.
It's pretty straight-forward, and no one is claiming there is any more information than that in the numbers.