Quote:
Originally Posted by butterfly
Is that true? There's such a huge dropoff from the mid-teens to the 20s that it reverts to a typical draft?
I've read that a good second round pick (like 42, maybe the one the Flames will have) is as good as a mid-late first round pick in a normal draft. I'm hoping for a Pelletier level prospect from the 2nd round pick.
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I think that's where the over-hype is.
The deeper you go in any draft the more they normalize. So for instance, there is no way a pick in the 40s is a good as a pick in the 20s of a normal draft. That doesn't mean there won't be good players there, because there will be.
By the time you get into the late 1st and early 2nd, a pick there might be 2-4 slots better than normal, and then it will normalize further as you go on.
Again, its a good draft for the following reasons:
- Incredible #1 overall pick. Potential generational
- Another 3 guys that would go first overall most years
- Another tier of about 10 guys that are better than most years.
It's not about the depth. It's about the guys available in the first half of the first round.