Quote:
Originally Posted by flames_fan_down_under
100%. Baseball also lends itself to an immense amount hard data with a game of repeated moments confined to small areas at defined parameters. A baseball is thrown a bunch of times from 60' 6" into a tiny area. Hockey is curved boards, a puck that can bounce in any direction, ice, players flying into each other etc. There is so much randomness. And yes the cap etc too.
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There is likely as much or more randomness in baseball than hockey. The difference between a fraction of an inch hitting the bat in the sweet spot resuts in the difference bewteen a fly fall and a HR.
There is a reason why the vast majority of teams win between 40% and 60% of all games played.
Hockey, between, this year, . 831 and .365. Although I expect those numbers to compress somewhat by the end of the season.