Quote:
Originally Posted by 2macinnis2
I made this point a couple years ago. The modern NHL is the major sport in which luck carries the most weight.
I’ve watched a few Bruins games this year and haven’t really understood what their hype is about. It’s impossible to argue with their record, but look at their team save pct too… it’s unreal. And Ulmark is a career journeyman goalie, and it’s not like he isn’t facing grade A chances in some of these games.
To counter my point, you would expect at some point for there to be regression to a mean which we have not yet seen, for either the Flames or the Bruins. Maybe confidence has played a big role in that too though?
It’s hard to envision the Bruins as a top 6 (or maybe even 8) team in the East if they had the Flames goaltending from this year.
|
Things don't necessarily regress to the mean over the course of a season though - in some ways seasons are a bit arbitrary when it comes to something like statistical regression.
Over the last two years Markstrom has put up a .909 save percentage.
His career average is .910.
So if anything this season is the regression to his career mean after what was a outlier in a positive sense last year.
That's way over simplified but it's kind of been something that has plagued this team for about 10 years now - wide variation in shooting and save percentage year to year.