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					Originally Posted by  Bingo
					 
				 
				Always interesting to walk out a theory behind a model for sure. 
 
If that's your assumption ... go for it! 
 
I'm more stuck in win % home and away and that's it. The strength of the opponent literally. 
			
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For whatever reason some teams styles match better with others.
Flames could have the same exact strength of opponent as you mentionned but with 1 or 2 eastern road trips and games vs  teams they do not fair well agains (Habs, Det, T.B, Was, NJ, etc)
And if it was the case, I wouldn't have posted anything as the record would have been putrid.
Thank god they only have 3 left vs East where they are brutal 11-11-7.
Above you mention ,527 as strength of schedule.
I checked out East and if Flames had 2 games remaining vs each team in position 6 to 16 (roughly ,520%) they only got 22 pts in 21 games.