[DeluxeMoustache]

Sorry, man. We are going to do this again

First, you’re right. Zadorov was atrocious.

I know you didn’t pin any goals on Markstrom, and lament the aggregate body of work.

And I know you looked at the first 3 and shook your head at the season.

2 goals on 2 shots sucks. But Georgiev unfortunately didn’t face a shot of comparable difficulty until shot 21.

Tonight showed *exactly* what I have been talking about, it’s like Groundhog day

The xGF model does base its results on shot origin, but not shot placement. Giving the edge to Calgary, it is generous considering what happened

Let’s take a closer look



Shots by the Flames (ie. how tough was Georgiev’s night in comparison)

1 - Pelletier stuffs it Left pad low. Pad on the ice, nothing to shoot at
2 - Wrister from point w traffic - Torso
3 - Covers a puck coming in slowly on the ice, gets credit for a save
4 - Mang - slapper into Torso, gloved
5 - Mang - it was quick, couldn’t tell if the puck hit torso or pad in tight, just Georgie’s was square
6 - Bouncer from far out, into torso

2nd
7 - puck trickled in - froze it, got credit for a save
8 - looked like 5 hole ish low, not handled well by Georgiev (came out to Mang who sent it cross crease and missed - hit far post)
9 - Coleman - stuffing in pad on ice low
(+1 Extra?).
* at this point it’s sketchy for a bit. Stuff happens but the shot clock doesn’t keep up
10 - Pad low, shot from far out
11 - backhand on ice, pad low
(Marky then makes a beauty cross crease save)

Return from commercial
Shot clock ticked up by 2 and
They enter the zone zone and go behind the net - it ticks up again to 13

14 - point shot torso (screen)
16 - Jamming garbage into the pads x2 Coleman
17 - dumped into flames zone and a phantom shot appeared ?
18 - Kadri slapper into crest - butterfly
19 - pp one timer pad low lindholm
20 - pad low from point
21 - Toffoli goal ! Hooray!
22 - Andersson circles around net - hits pad low
23 - one timer point pad low
24 - Zadorov near side from bad angle, routine seal
25 - Tanev, low pad save
26 - pad low, Backs on pk
27 - mang missed the net, shot clock ticked up ? 8:40 3rd
28 - Looch wrister top of circle
29 - backs far out glove save high


Generally, shots where routine positioning is all that was required. Lots of crap into the pads and torso. A goalie’s dream

Mang got chances but missed the net on a couple of glorious chances


What did Marky face?

Goal 1 - Z drifting and MacKinnon all alone - snipe. One of the best players in the game, all alone with time and space, makes no mistake
G2 - Bieksa showed the crossover zone entry, the shot was through traffic. Top corner. He didn’t see it. No real chance
G3 - PP one time, cross crease, top corner, redirected off raantanen
G4 - Malgin splits D top shelf - Z was awful, let him walk in and he sniped it

Georgiev did not face * anything * like that


They showed a highlight pack of Marky after the second
There was a sequence with a nice save and rebound
Rodrigues - good blocker save
Compher in all alone, moving lateral
He had a 10 beller with 2:05 left in the 3rd


Again the xGF model, bless its heart, does what it can grouping shots based on where they come from. And over the course of the year, the Flames G are only off by 6 goals in ~60 games. So it’s not that bad.

But this game, fancy stats notwithstanding, they got smoked.

The Flames generated a few looks, but other than the post and missed net, there were really no particularly good opportunities to score. Only Mang really walked in like they allowed MacKinnon and Malgin to do, and he couldn’t hit the net. Those guys sniped.

Georgiev didn’t have to handle 4 particularly tough shots. Routine positioning got the job done for most of his night.

Marky lost, and yes, let in 2 of 2, but was the better goalie. I feel bad for him