Quote:
Originally Posted by Erick Estrada
Why do you alway fall in love with Flames backup goaltenders and nonsensically try to defend them? It's weird. Vladar is playing at the level of a below average backup goaltender. That's basically all there is to it.
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No, that’s not it at all. Again, I have been sympathetic to Marky too.
I mentioned xGA because so many people point to it and say “see? The goalie sucked”
Seriously, a tap in from behind the goalie … how many xGA does it contribute?
In reality, if Pietrangelo is able to take that shot, it is a guaranteed goal
But there is no situation in the model for that situation. It gets lumped in a bucket with shots within a certain distance from the goal
I really am disappointed that your takeaway is that you think I particularly like ####ing backup goalie. Doesn’t matter who is in net, look at the facts.
It’s about people pointing to a model, nodding sagely and lamenting the knowledge it unearths about the state of the goaltending. When in reality, the sample size is such that one outlying event makes the result outside the bounds of the statistical significance
Clearly and quite obviously, we have an outlying event, and the model doesn’t capture it. Last game with Tanev’s own goal, this game with Pietrangelo’s.