Quote:
Originally Posted by flamesfever
I believe there has been a noticeable shift in voter sentiment across the country in the past 6 months. I think voters are gradually realizing how the actions of the Government are starting to affect them personally. For example:
1. Government overspending leading to a rise in inflation and interest rates, even noted by those formerly on the inside e.g. Morneau
2. Economic disincentives e.g. over taxation, burdening regulation, slow and inefficient government, all acting to stifle resource development, and contributing to our brain drain.
3. Our ballooning debt
4. Our collapsing healthcare and need for change and increased spending
5. The poor state of our armed forces
6. Government inefficiency e.g. acquiring passports, border policies, etc.
7. Corruption and gross overuse of consultants with probable conflicts of interest
8. Our decreasing standing as a country, as it relates to many issues e.g. corruption, investment opportunity, healthcare, etc.
9. The arrogant, virtue signaling, ideologically bent, grossly inefficient leadership
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Number 1 hasn’t shown to be really true but I agree it is driving perception. However because this inflation isn’t based in government policy it’s going to be back down to 3% or less over the next six months so the government likely gets credit for fighting it.
2) I always laugh at over taxation when in a list with not enough services. The Resources discussion is really only an Alberta centric thing which has no affect federally.
3) no one cares about debt anymore
4) the health care issue could sink governments and is a difficult one to solve as you have a jurisdictional battle between the Feds and provinces
5) no one cares about the armed forces
6) this is an issue that is solving itself with time. The passport travel issue from last year has mostly been mitigated and will be by the time of a next election so I suspect it’s one of the issues that will be framed as the government solving.
7) I think this issue never seems to have legs, it should be disqualifying but no one cares anymore
8) do you have references to our decreased standing in the world? I think we have always ranked about the same spot by those indicators and just the perception is Canada is better then it is. Has it moved recently?
9) agree it’s frustrating and the culture war conservatives will try to frame the election around this to deflect from the policy side.
Overall though I think the next 6 months will see things look better for the liberals. The one thing that could improve the cons right now is if we go into a deep recession. If the US banks don’t stick the soft landing then the conservatives will gain off the economic damage. Without a recession the NDP vote slips back to the libs in key ridings and we go back with a minority government.