Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
The media is projecting this wrong anyway though, as usual. They're looking at the percentage of votes and saying it's a close race, but that's somewhat misleading. I think that Smith and the UCP have a major problem here because the distribution of the votes is not good for them. They have a commanding lead rurally, and that makes the percentages seem closer than they really are. But when you consider the seats and how those votes are distributed it has to be the NDP with a lead here, and potentially sizeable.
You can win a seat with say one more percent than everyone else. But winning with say 70% of the vote still equals one seat. So, its kind of irrelevant. For a poll like this, it helps even out the percentages, but won't result in more seats.
The media does this every election. It's more evident on the prairies, federally, but it's the same mistake.
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I think the rural districts have a much lower population on average though, which means it takes less rural votes to win a seat than an urban seat, even though the UCP is running away with them.