Quote:
Originally Posted by mikephoen
I guess I disagree with both assessments. My guess is that the US, and to a lesser extent the other NATO countries, want to keep bleeding Russia dry. They provide enough equipment to keep Ukraine from being overrun, but not enough to damage Russia quickly enough to spark them going nuclear. Slow, steady bleeding of Russia on both the military front and the economic front until we see internal regime change in Russia.
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I think that's been the plan. The problem is that there is a time limit on this plan. The U.S. is by far the biggest provider of support to Ukraine, but they have an election in 2024 and I think they want to see some kind of resolution before then. If the Dems lose, you can pretty much kiss most of Ukraine's American support away. That's just the likely reality. If Russia's regime lasts longer than the American one, Ukraine stands a big chance of defeat with less favourable negotiating power.