Quote:
Originally Posted by K1LLswitch
Great analysis - I had a hard time understanding my thoughts on the goalies and you nailed it with this analysis.
When I look at the goalie stats on moneypuck, the numbers show Markstrom is better than Vladar, which doesn’t pass the eye test, and nothing seems obvious in the advanced stats other than Markstrom is weaker at medium danger shots. It is definitely the timing of their goals against that is the problem.
Well done!
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Thanks! I know there are better/advanced stats to measure goalie performance (looking at quality of scoring chances and expected goals against), but I was trying to find something that might help explain what we’re seeing in terms of run support and when goals against are being scored. People often talk about making “timely” saves, and I think with this team those saves need to come early and when the score is tied.
Quote:
Originally Posted by GranteedEV
While this is a fair assessment, I have one additional theory:
1) Vladar gets superior opponents
2) Superior opponents spend less time in their own zone, allowing the Flames to generate more rush scoring, and reducing rush scoring against the Flames, since the Flames are also spending less time in the opponent's zone
I don't have the numbers to back it up, but maybe someone could dig into it
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I’d have to check the schedule and the chart I created, but amongst games against the same opponent, I think Vladar has fared better. Obviously not necessarily apples to apples since other things factor in though (home vs away, rest, lineups, etc).