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Old 01-20-2023, 10:11 AM   #158
Bingo
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Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ComixZone View Post
Ahem.

*served*

Fair enough.

There does seem to be some level of disconnect between the untrustworthy eye test and the numbers though. I don’t see a lot of good chances coming from home plate.

It could also be that the guys who are taking the shots just don’t have what it takes to bury those chances…but when I watch the Flames play, I don’t see a top-10 offensive team.

5 on 5 the Flames are ranked the following

high danger - 20th
medium danger - 13th
low danger - 2nd

And conversion rates ...

high danger - 5th
medium danger - 25th
low danger - 20th

To me that says they're good at converting the high danger chances, but don't create enough of them.

You could theorize the they're low danger attempts are further out than the average low danger chance (there is nothing lower than low danger to capture that), but then you see the same in medium danger with a decent creation rate but a bad finish.

Two issues in my mind ...

1) The team is lacking the system or players to create high danger chances

- Last year they were top 11 in high danger and 3rd in medium danger creation so to me it's a player thing

2) If it's a player thing is it a lack of skill in creating the high danger chances? (beating players one on one, speed to break into the open, offensive instincts to find the hole or be available for the pass) Or is it lack of cohesion or chemistry?

- I think it's both
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