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Old 01-20-2023, 09:33 AM   #157
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo View Post
First off there isn't a real puck possession stat.

They use shot volume assuming that more shot attempts means you have the puck more (which is likely true). Says nothing about danger though and could be all from center ice (ha!)

Flames are 2nd in the NHL in CF% (the old standard), which suggests they have the puck a lot and here you would be right in my opinion, that low percentage shots in high volume boost those numbers.

So you move on to expected goal splits which factors in danger. You can't be a perimeter team with a high expected goal split.

Flames are 6th five on five.

Breaking that down they are 10th on the offensive side, and 7th on the defensive side.

So no ... they're not just holding the puck on the perimeter and hoping the game clock runs out.
Ahem.

*served*

Fair enough.

There does seem to be some level of disconnect between the untrustworthy eye test and the numbers though. I don’t see a lot of good chances coming from home plate.

It could also be that the guys who are taking the shots just don’t have what it takes to bury those chances…but when I watch the Flames play, I don’t see a top-10 offensive team.
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